Bulletin n. 1/2017 | ||
June 2017 | ||
Tanja A. Börzel, Frank Schimmelfennig |
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Coming together or drifting apart? The EU’s political integration capacity in Eastern Europe | ||
in Journal of European Public Policy , Volume 24, Issue 2 , 2017 | ||
This contribution assesses the EU’s external political integration capacity: its ability to promote democracy and governance effectiveness in non-member and new member states. Based on macro-quantitative data, we examine the political trajectory of Central European, South-east European, and post-Soviet countries. We find that democracy and governance effectiveness have improved overall in the past 20 years. However, Eastern Europeans have been moving on distinct sub-regional paths and have been unable to catch up with the old member states. Our analysis of the EU impact shows a robust effect of EU accession conditionality. By contrast, we do not find a systematic effect of conditionality in the absence of membership incentives. Once countries become members, the EU’s political integration capacity weakens, too. Finally, we observe that the EU has a stronger effect on governance effectiveness than on democracy. | ||