Bulletin n. 3/2015 | ||
January 2016 | ||
Fidrmuc Jan |
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Political economy of fiscal unions | ||
in European Journal of Political Economy , Volume 40, Part A, December 2015 , 2015 , Pages 147-157 | ||
Fiscal unions often use fiscal transfers to counter asymmetric shocks, but such transfers may be politically controversial. I present a model of a two-region fiscal union with region-specific shocks where the threat of secession imposes a limit on fiscal redistribution between regions. I show that both correlation of shocks across regions and their persistence over time are important for political support for integration. The gains from inter-regional risk sharing are potentially large when shocks are negatively correlated and temporary. In contrast, unions with negatively correlated permanent shocks are likely to be fragile. | ||