Bulletin n. 3/2011 | ||
February 2012 | ||
Sun Wei, Simons Gerald |
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Monetary Integration in East Asia: Evidence from Real Effective Exchange Rates | ||
in Review of International Economics , Volume 19, Issue 5, November 2011 , 2011 , 865-876 | ||
This paper investigates the feasibility of forming a monetary union in East Asia by examining the cointegration and causality of the real effective exchange rates of local currencies. A “pentagon” group of five countries is found—South Korea, the Philippines, Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia—which may have potential for success for further monetary integration. Singapore is loosely tied to this group. The Greater China area—China, Hong Kong and Taiwan—does not show any significant degree of integration either internally or externally. Neither a yen bloc nor a US dollar bloc is forming in East Asia. | ||